In his inaugural speech, at the 56th Annual General Meeting of the Textile Machinery Manufacturers’ Association (India) at Hotel Trident in Mumbai, R Rajendran, Chairman of TMMA, said that the Indian economy in 2015-16 was the shining example of one of the fastest growing economies and oasis of the world in the wake of global slowdown fueled by fall in oil and commodity prices. The GDP grew at 7.6 per cent in 2015-16, continued till date, the highest in last five years as against 7.2 per cent clocked in 2014-15. There was macroeconomic stability and prudent fiscal management. The fiscal deficit target of 3.9 per cent has been met and a fiscal deficit target of 3.5 per cent has been set.
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The Indian textile and apparel industry was estimated to be worth Rs 6,25,930 crore in 2015 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 9 per cent to reach Rs 9,35,123 crore, by 2020. Of the total market size domestic consumption accounts for approximately 60 per cent and exports accounts for the rest approximately 40 per cent. The domestic market is expected to show higher CAGR of 10 per cent in comparison to exports, which is expected to grow at CAGR of 6 per cent over next five years.
The Indian textile and clothing industry is very old and plays a very important part in the Indian economy. Except China, no other nation can match the size, spread, depth and competitiveness of the Indian textile and clothing industry. Liberalisation also has given the much-needed push to the textile industry, which has now successfully become one of the largest in the world. It has a complete value chain from the production of raw materials to the manufacture of finished goods.
India has signed an agreement with Chile to expand the India-Chile Preferential Trade Agreement (PTA), marking a 10-fold jump in the number of products to be traded on concessional duty rates.
The politics of Goods and Services Tax (GST) may take some more time to sort out, but its basic impact on textile industry can be analysed beforehand. ITJ sought opinions on GST?s impact on the textile industry. Current exemptions on certain goods to continue: Multiple exemptions exist under the present tax system ? the Centre has ~300 items exempted from central excise duty, while the States (together) have ~90 items exempted from VAT. These will be merged into a Final synchronised exemption list under the GST regime.
The current global apparel market is estimated $1,100 billion with trade value of $700 billion. European Union is the largest consumer market, reaching $350 billion per annum, whilst China is the largest exporter with $288 billion. Leading countries such as EU, USA & Japan focus solely on highest value stages of textile and apparel value chain, that are designing, marketing & distribution. Meanwhile, the manufacturing activities are concentrated in India, China & other developing countries such as Bangladesh, Pakistan, Vietnam, Indonesia, etc.
In my business life, I have not seen a worse situation than this, where such a big disparity is there between spot cotton prices and yarn prices. This disparity for such an extended period of time shows there is a deep rooted problem and it?s not a temporary feature. The current isolated spurt in Indian cotton prices has aggravated the situation to an extent that many can hear the death knell. The more disturbing fact is that no domestic yarn buyer is hassled or is rushing to buy yarn-they know cotton prices have moved 50 per cent and yarn just 20 per cent-still no anxiety! International buyers have diverted their orders as cotton in India has increased much much more in comparison to international cotton prices.